Total-Spacing
0xc02f007bc421d9e679c671c1edd9aba930d35ab7
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-722.24
Realised
$-984.32
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
1377 shares @ 72.6¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$695.60
$-304.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
1105 shares @ 9.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$558.18
$458.18
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
385 shares @ 14.3¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$190.77
$135.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
313 shares @ 16.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$157.81
$107.81
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
302 shares @ 49.6¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$152.73
$2.73
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
891 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$9.36
$-2.64
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.29
$-0.71
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
736 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$5.16
$-133.84
- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.42
$-0.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$58.54Jun 22, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$106.37Jun 22, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$1.0KJun 22, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$0.00Jun 22, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$0.00Jun 22, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$256.18Jun 22, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$103.92Jun 22, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$21.09Jun 22, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$52.66Jun 22, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$155.29Jun 22, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$52.94Jun 22, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$0.00Jun 22, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$52.97Jun 22, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$0.00Jun 22, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$281.05Jun 22, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$52.88Jun 22, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.00Jun 22, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$0.00Jun 22, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$0.00Jun 22, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$114.92Jun 22, 02:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $122.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 01:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 07:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.