Arctic-Plaster
0xc03698dd228892c750acc5e0c1c6ff0bb1da1f7a
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$43.58
Total PnL
$-45.40
Realised
$-0.98
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
13 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.19
$1.19
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
12 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.24
$0.24
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
11 shares @ 97.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$11.21
$0.21
- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.24
$0.24
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
6 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Google forced to sell Chrome?
14 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
14 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
13 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$1.04May 12, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$11.01May 12, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$12.00May 12, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$12.00May 12, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by June 30?$6.64May 12, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$8.45May 12, 15:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$6.21May 12, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$7.12May 12, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$7.69May 12, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$6.00Apr 16, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$6.55Apr 16, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Apr 3, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$6.00Apr 3, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$7.00Apr 3, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$7.00Apr 3, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$5.18Apr 3, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by March 31?$10.35Apr 3, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?$5.18Mar 18, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Mar 18, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$8.00Mar 18, 13:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $8.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 1, 16:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 16:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.