Uncommon-Sibling
0xc0402e527a464e782bca96f802c77e5db8d8beac
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
92
Open notional
$98.4K
Total PnL
$26.3K
Realised
$21.8K
Win rate
69%
55 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 92- YES
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
47706 shares @ 34.3¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.8K
$3.4K
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
34825 shares @ 25.3¢·now 45.5¢·exp May 29, 2026$15.8K
$7.0K
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
19370 shares @ 79.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.8K
$-482.35
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
18262 shares @ 52.4¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.1K
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
13901 shares @ 25.7¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.5K
$3.9K
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
10340 shares @ 41.7¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.6K
$2.3K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
16480 shares @ 20.1¢·now 26.2¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$4.3K
$995.97
- NO
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
3771 shares @ 29.1¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.5K
$1.4K
- YES
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
4773 shares @ 17.9¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.4K
$1.5K
- YES
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
2299 shares @ 25.9¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.6K
$979.91
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?$412.51Jun 13, 19:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 14, 2026? $192.82Jun 13, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$106.30Jun 13, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$310.25Jun 13, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$153.47Jun 13, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$560.09Jun 13, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$76.66Jun 13, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$203.88Jun 13, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$174.14Jun 13, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$600.48Jun 13, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$181.99Jun 13, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$823.90Jun 13, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4.17Jun 13, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$365.27Jun 13, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$320.22Jun 13, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$244.80Jun 13, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$240.00Jun 13, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.3KJun 13, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$631.61Jun 13, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$120.17Jun 13, 15:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$6.0K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 24, 04:20 UTC → May 24, 04:11 UTC
- BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?$6.0K@100¢May 24, 04:11 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$6.0K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
$6.0K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $253.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 14:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 55 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.