0xc04516b6af8c94da2e2623a4cb6688eb9a436510
0xc04516b6af8c94da2e2623a4cb6688eb9a436510
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$118.21
Total PnL
$0.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: March
13 shares @ 76.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$13.08
$3.08
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.75
$0.75
- NO
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.66
$0.66
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
10 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.18
$0.18
- NO
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.16
$0.16
- NO
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
6 shares @ 89.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.57
$0.57
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.56
$0.56
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.42
$0.42
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.35
$0.35
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?
5 shares @ 93.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$5.35
$0.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.00May 4, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in Michigan?$5.26May 4, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in Michigan?$5.01May 2, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?$5.02May 2, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$10.03May 2, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$5.02May 2, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?$10.00May 2, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$9.35May 2, 14:10 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by April 30?$5.20May 2, 14:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?$1.22Apr 29, 11:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$5.23Apr 29, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.00Apr 3, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?$1.00Apr 3, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill India join the Board of Peace?$1.01Apr 3, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?$1.23Apr 3, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition$5.06Apr 3, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla dip to $330 in March?$5.13Apr 3, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla reach $420 in March?$5.38Apr 3, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$11.11Apr 3, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$5.00Mar 30, 12:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $6.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 12:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 11:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".