Stiff-Recruit
0xc054abc8a0c10ee19dfd8acac335b4df6ba6c65a
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$63.85
Total PnL
$-136.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?
25 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$25.00
$5.00
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?
21 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$20.97
$7.97
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
11 shares @ 92.9¢·now 95.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.32
$0.32
- YES
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
87 shares @ 54.0¢·now 8.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.57
$-39.45
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
143 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?
119 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$47.89Jun 7, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$5.13May 16, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$5.14May 16, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$5.14May 16, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$5.35May 16, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$25.59May 16, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$20.12May 16, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$51.30May 16, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$0.00May 16, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$7.95May 16, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$13.15May 16, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?$5.12May 16, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?$5.11May 16, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$30.84May 16, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$5.19May 16, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$5.19May 16, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$5.16May 16, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$2.15May 16, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$5.22May 16, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$4.11May 16, 14:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $11.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 14:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 10:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.