Old-Chasuble
0xc0737998f4cdc41c0ac3d25673f078744040a9b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$698.75
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$-20.02
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?
10750 shares @ 19.8¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$698.75
$-1.4K
- NO
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
524000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
30300 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-789.59
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
18750 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-224.99
- YES
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
18750 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-224.99
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1462 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Brian Brobbey: 2+ goals
450 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-19.80
- YES
Will Miley Cyrus perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
187 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-29.99
- YES
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
136 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$313.65Jul 11, 16:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 9, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 8, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 6, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 2, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 1, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMNetherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$475.00Jun 30, 04:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 30, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrian Brobbey: 2+ goals$2.20Jun 29, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrian Brobbey: 2+ goals$2.20Jun 29, 19:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
11/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $94.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 12:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.