Muddy-Host
0xc08deff6f5a236893968d0ca1dcb34400f801104
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$141.55
Total PnL
$-11.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C or higher on June 12?
96 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$96.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
16 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.41
$0.41
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
15 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$15.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?
17 shares @ 94.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.89
$-1.11
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 13?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
10 shares @ 98.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C or higher on June 12?$96.01Jun 10, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$15.00Jun 10, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on June 5?$110.11Jun 10, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on June 5?$110.01Jun 2, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?$16.04Jun 2, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 27?$18.02Jun 2, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?$23.05Jun 2, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 27?$85.08Jun 2, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 27?$18.00May 23, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 27?$85.01May 23, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$30.22May 23, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 10?$30.06May 15, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 13?$40.08May 15, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 13?$40.00May 12, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$21.26May 12, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 10?$30.00May 9, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $30 on May 8?$70.07May 9, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $30 on May 8?$70.00May 6, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$75.08May 6, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$75.00May 5, 14:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $50.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 16:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 08:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.