Mature-Request
0xc090192791fa466367d829bd510c5d5320218d3d
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
199
Open notional
$1.71
Total PnL
$-716.19
Realised
$22.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 199- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
19 shares @ 5.4¢·now 9.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.71
$0.71
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
123 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 15?
110 shares @ 45.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- SKA ST. PETERSBURG
KHL: SKA St. Petersburg vs. HC Sochi
100 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-79.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?
100 shares @ 49.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-49.19
- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
93 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21?
67 shares @ 89.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 13?
64 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpread: FK Zenit (-1.5)$10.42Jul 25, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: FK Zenit (-1.5)$5.13Jul 25, 11:32 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$33.33Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$30.15Jul 19, 21:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$31.17Jul 19, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$1.17Jul 19, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$5.14Jul 19, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$10.34Jul 19, 18:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: O/U 2.5$10.17Jul 14, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$29.78Jul 14, 20:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Morocco end in a draw?$1.02Jul 9, 21:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:21 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score$1.67Jul 7, 18:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $6.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 00:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 17:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.