Exalted-Birdbath
0xc09071555dd2e44171f516d0fd3de9a0fdc0e1ef
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$126.94
Total PnL
$-12.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 14?
20 shares @ 89.4¢·now 91.6¢·exp May 14, 2026$18.08
$0.44
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 14?
10 shares @ 97.5¢·now 95.9¢·exp May 14, 2026$9.64
$-0.16
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 13?
4 shares @ 96.9¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 13, 2026$4.01
$0.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 12?
3 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$3.27
$0.33
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 12?
3 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$3.19
$0.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 12?
3 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$3.19
$0.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 12?
3 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$3.19
$0.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 14?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 14, 2026$2.21
$0.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 14?
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 14, 2026$2.16
$0.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 13?
2 shares @ 91.9¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 13, 2026$2.08
$0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on May 14?$1.9827m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C or higher on May 14?$1.9853m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 14?$1.982h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 14?$1.982h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 14?$1.962h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on May 14?$1.962h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on May 14?$1.972h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on May 14?$1.982h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 14?$1.963h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 14?$1.963h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 14?$1.974h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 14?$1.984h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 12?$3.165h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 12?$3.065h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 12?$3.065h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on May 12?$3.205h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 12?$3.345h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 14?$1.965h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on May 12?$3.485h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 12?$3.236h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 11h ago
- Last active
- 27m ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".