Definite-Speaker
0xc09591c6c3443c8175c68c21d12af50ee67e3830
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-18.1K
Realised
$-1.1K
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-08?
33100 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2025$0.00
$-16.9K
- YES
Will Barcelona win on 2025-05-06?
219 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2025$0.00
$-96.36
- COWBOYS
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
6 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-3.42
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2024-25 FA Cup?
5 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.06
- YES
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?
1 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.59
- YES
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Argentina before July?
1 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.43
- CUTELABA
Bukauskas vs. Cutelaba
1 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2025$0.00
$-0.52
- YES
Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?
1 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-0.54
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?$5.52Mar 4, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2.01Mar 4, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$2.05Mar 4, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?$2.72Mar 4, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aneesah Morrow win WNBA Rookie of the Year?$3.01Mar 4, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Isack Hadjar be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$3.21Mar 4, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jean-Louis Billon win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?$3.40Mar 4, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be less than 2%?$3.84Mar 4, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 National League Championship?$4.17Mar 4, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?$4.80Mar 4, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)$5.54Mar 4, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atupele Muluzi win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?$5.81Mar 4, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$6.02Mar 4, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 510 or more times August 1–August 8?$6.18Mar 4, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$6.93Mar 4, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Washington Mystics win the 2025 WNBA Championship?$7.02Mar 4, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$7.51Mar 4, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robert Negoiță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$8.21Mar 4, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.0 in July?$8.46Mar 4, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?$9.72Mar 4, 13:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $7.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 03:15 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 13:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".