Vigilant-Enclave-Absence
0xc0bf7e8ddec29dd01f76fe31f21339aca803b4cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$4.9K
Total PnL
$-6.9K
Realised
$-848.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
19058 shares @ 11.5¢·now 8.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.6K
$-571.68
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2958 shares @ 53.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.1K
$-488.03
- NO
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
25859 shares @ 14.1¢·now 3.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$905.08
$-2.7K
- NO
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
1403 shares @ 66.2¢·now 46.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$645.46
$-283.48
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
7557 shares @ 16.6¢·now 6.2¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$468.51
$-782.64
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
80574 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$201.43
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$5.20Jul 30, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$43.61Jul 30, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$4.90Jul 29, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$104.00Jul 29, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$9.73Jul 29, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$52.08Jul 29, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$7.94Jul 29, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$13.50Jul 29, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$27.70Jul 29, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$44.10Jul 29, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$32.00Jul 29, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$22.75Jul 29, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$82.50Jul 29, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$25.83Jul 29, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$108.56Jul 29, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$10.43Jul 29, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$10.53Jul 29, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$8.66Jul 29, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$112.55Jul 29, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$7.60Jul 29, 15:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $37.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.