Squeaky-Sloth
0xc0d2834cda52b9b2b0803fc5e5ee6f4571bb054b
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$8.97
Total PnL
$-146.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.69
$-5.31
- YES
Human moon landing in 2026?
186 shares @ 5.4¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.28
$-5.72
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 1?
9421 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
850 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?
667 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
345 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Migrant Crime" this week? (February 1)
98 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Midterm Election" this week? (February 1)
91 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2?
57 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?$0.24Feb 14, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Major Non-NATO Ally" in February?$7.25Feb 14, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMSeahawks vs. Patriots$7.25Feb 9, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$5.63Feb 4, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$5.00Feb 4, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?$10.00Feb 4, 10:35 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B$15.15Feb 2, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B$10.00Feb 2, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B$10.00Feb 2, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$5.00Feb 2, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 30 days or more?$10.00Feb 2, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Midterm Election" this week? (February 1)$5.00Feb 2, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Massie" this week? (February 1)$5.00Feb 2, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Migrant Crime" this week? (February 1)$5.00Feb 2, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$10.00Feb 2, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYHuman moon landing in 2026?$10.00Feb 2, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$10.00Feb 2, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$10.00Feb 2, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2?$10.00Feb 2, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)$10.00Feb 2, 00:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $8.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 16:42 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 14, 17:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.