Constant-Thing
0xc0d7df9e7bbb8b7a92b62e96f2797031dd72da4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$8.52
Total PnL
$-4.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.61
$0.00
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.11
$0.01
- NO
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by April 30?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.35
$0.03
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.32
$0.00
- NO
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.13
$0.00
- OG
Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO3)
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Morgan Wallen win Entertainer of the Year at the 59th annual CMA Awards?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.03
- YES
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Svitle by May 31?$2.61May 31, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026?$1.32May 9, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Iranian diplomat expelled by April 30?$1.32Apr 30, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.24Apr 29, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?$1.24Apr 29, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.42Apr 29, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.13Apr 29, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.03Apr 28, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.07Apr 14, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?$1.24Mar 29, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.23Mar 28, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.42Dec 30, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Tariff" 13+ times during December press conference?$2.63Dec 30, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Tariff" 13+ times during December press conference?$1.05Dec 8, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 24?$1.65Dec 4, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO3)$1.05Dec 4, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.05Nov 29, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?$1.00Nov 25, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 24?$1.04Nov 22, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval Up or Down this week?$2.54Nov 22, 02:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $10.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 09:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 03:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.