Orderly-Spark
0xc0e4a637dd00f6212e6cbfe9d0e8ac471a6980be
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$147.30
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-18.56
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
38 shares @ 78.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$30.96
$0.96
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
31 shares @ 95.9¢·now 96.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$30.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?
26 shares @ 91.6¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$25.26
$1.64
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
20 shares @ 65.6¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$19.65
$6.55
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
12 shares @ 72.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$11.89
$3.24
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
18 shares @ 65.1¢·now 60.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$11.06
$-0.94
- YES
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.80
$0.80
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.09
$0.09
- YES
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
5 shares @ 81.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.17
$0.12
- YES
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$1.79
$-0.05
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$47.77Jun 13, 23:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$45.08Jun 12, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?$30.09Jun 12, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?$30.46Jun 12, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$1.84Jun 12, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$2.02Jun 12, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$0.00Jun 12, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$2.03Jun 12, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$1.20Jun 12, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$1.01Jun 12, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$0.00Jun 12, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$1.07Jun 12, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$1.01Jun 12, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia win on 2026-06-11?$21.74Jun 12, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMKorea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5$18.52Jun 12, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKorea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5$15.09Jun 12, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-06-11?$15.14Jun 12, 00:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$44.44Jun 11, 23:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $11.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 16:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.