Incomparable-Caviar
0xc0f13a572757d86c2f78b839a345a1f97ac96355
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$10.47
Total PnL
$-18.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
11 shares @ 96.1¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.47
$0.19
- YES
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-09?
2510 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.51
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
13 shares @ 75.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?
11 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- NO
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-10?
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.21
- YES
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 94.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?$1.43Jul 25, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$2.46Jul 12, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.42Jul 7, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by June 30?$8.13Jul 1, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$10.28Jun 27, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.23Jun 19, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)$11.40Jun 15, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)$6.58Jun 13, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$7.83Jun 5, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$7.72Jun 1, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$6.64May 30, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Jesus Aguilar vs. Rei Tsuruya (Flyweight, Prelims)$6.45May 29, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Jesus Aguilar vs. Rei Tsuruya (Flyweight, Prelims)$6.55May 25, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$4.80May 17, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-10?$2.23May 10, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fulham FC win on 2026-05-09?$2.59May 9, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$3.07Apr 23, 01:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$9.99Apr 18, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$9.78Mar 28, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$10.00Mar 25, 12:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $5.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 14:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 13:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.