Assured-Folk
0xc104b3a95009627bd4df45ffd151c6cf496f2db4
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$14.22
Total PnL
$-8.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 31?
3 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.74
$0.03
- NO
Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
2 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$1.95
$0.02
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.91
$0.00
- NO
Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.42
$0.00
- NO
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.34
$0.00
- NO
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.31
$0.00
- NO
Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$1.28
$0.01
- NO
Will White House post 100-119 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$1.14
$0.00
- NO
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.12
$0.00
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAnthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 31?$2.71Jun 1, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$1.91May 9, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?$1.34Apr 30, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.27Apr 29, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 100-119 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.14Apr 29, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 120-139 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$1.93Apr 15, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?$1.42Mar 30, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$1.12Mar 29, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?$1.31Dec 30, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joana Amaral Dias win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$10.31Dec 29, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joana Amaral Dias win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$10.31Dec 29, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.05Dec 26, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.26Dec 26, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.31Dec 26, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.04Dec 24, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.59Dec 24, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.63Dec 24, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.32Dec 23, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$9.99Dec 23, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.31Dec 23, 08:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $4.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 03:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 02:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.