Gargantuan-Pita
0xc1110184fa4036f19a206c6540b67d371d2a0fb0
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$12.39
Total PnL
$-45.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
42 shares @ 18.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.39
$4.83
- NO
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?
1128 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
1100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?
750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 30 and 40 million views the first week?
295 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.36
- NO
Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?
192 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $122,000 on July 21?
140 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Nobody 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $8.5m?
59 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$7.56Jun 10, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$11.44Jun 10, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?$5.00Nov 26, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on the West Bank by December 31?$1.00Nov 26, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Nobody 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $8.5m?$3.00Aug 16, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 30 and 40 million views the first week?$2.36Aug 16, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?$13.00Aug 16, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?$10.00Aug 16, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?$3.00Jul 22, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?$1.00Jul 21, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $122,000 on July 21?$1.00Jul 21, 13:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $5.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 13:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 15:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.