Likable-Temporariness
0xc15cad59b14079fb7a553c483ac5262c15746549
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$305.67
Total PnL
$-382.70
Realised
$-120.46
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2682 shares @ 9.1¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$210.50
$-32.45
- YES
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
3336 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.69
$-8.31
- YES
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?
1194 shares @ 3.5¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.53
$-26.47
- YES
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
3548 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.19
$-16.80
- YES
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
1244 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.44
$-7.55
- YES
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by end of 2026?
154 shares @ 2.6¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.73
$5.73
- YES
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
1208 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.85
$-42.14
- YES
Will Chad Bianco finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
13595 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$6.80
$-102.17
- YES
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 54.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.35
$0.35
- YES
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.23
$-7.77
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$56.50Jun 12, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.82Jun 12, 06:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by August 31, 2026?$2.04Jun 11, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2026?$1.00Jun 11, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.00Jun 11, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$2.00Jun 11, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$31.19Jun 11, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$20.79Jun 11, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.72Jun 11, 04:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$59.54Jun 6, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$57.77Jun 6, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$61.63Jun 6, 02:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $68.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 15:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.