Intentional-Plume
0xc160930494d473fe72671eb81e9458ebb37571ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-18.0K
Realised
$91.34
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?
699 shares @ 71.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$699.49
$199.49
- NO
Will 30-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
166 shares @ 90.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$165.67
$15.67
- NO
Will 50-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
56 shares @ 89.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$55.71
$5.71
- NO
Will 20-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
52 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$52.08
$2.08
- NO
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
51 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$51.28
$1.28
- NO
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
20778 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-6.4K
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
15713 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.8K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Trump Sun Belt swing state sweep?
6590 shares @ 52.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-3.5K
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
5000 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-125.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?$500.00Apr 7, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?$100.00Apr 7, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 30-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?$100.00Apr 6, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?$100.00Apr 6, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?$50.00Apr 6, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?$50.00Apr 6, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 30-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?$50.00Apr 6, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 50-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?$50.00Apr 6, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?$50.00Apr 6, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?$200.00Apr 6, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMHouse control after 2024 election?$0.00Apr 6, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by March 31?$400.00Apr 5, 19:56 UTC
- REDEEMKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$0.00Mar 23, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$99.98Mar 10, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$199.98Mar 10, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$22.40Mar 10, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$50.00Mar 1, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$103.40Mar 1, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 2?$100.00Mar 1, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by March 31?$168.00Feb 28, 23:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $59.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 06:32 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 19:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".