OtherExpires Jul 1, 2026

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?

Probability

97¢

1h

+0.1pp

24h

+0.1pp

24h Vol

$34.6K

Liquidity

$38.7K

Probability (last 7 days)

+6.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 01:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:01
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 1594h with open resolution ambiguity.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1594.0h

    LOW
  • 18:01Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 1594h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 97¢.

Biggest hourly move: +8.9pp at 2d ago (to 96¢).

Show all 30 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 18:00 · +3.0pp → 97¢
  • 12:00 · +4.1pp → 97¢
  • 11:00 · +4.6pp → 97¢
  • 09:00 · +3.6pp → 97¢
  • 08:00 · +3.6pp → 97¢
  • 06:00 · +4.1pp → 97¢
  • 05:00 · +4.6pp → 97¢
  • 03:00 · +5.6pp → 97¢
  • 02:00 · +4.6pp → 97¢
  • 00:00 · +4.5pp → 97¢
  • 23:00 · +4.6pp → 97¢
  • 21:00 · +4.8pp → 97¢
  • 20:00 · +4.8pp → 97¢
  • 1d ago · +4.5pp → 97¢
  • 1d ago · +5.5pp → 97¢
  • 1d ago · +6.0pp → 97¢
  • 1d ago · +5.9pp → 96¢
  • 1d ago · +5.8pp → 96¢
  • 1d ago · +5.8pp → 96¢
  • 1d ago · +5.8pp → 96¢
  • 1d ago · +4.8pp → 95¢
  • 2d ago · +3.9pp → 96¢
  • 2d ago · +4.3pp → 96¢
  • 2d ago · +4.7pp → 96¢
  • 2d ago · +4.3pp → 96¢
  • 2d ago · +4.5pp → 95¢
  • 2d ago · +8.9pp → 96¢
  • 2d ago · +5.3pp → 95¢
  • 2d ago · +6.6pp → 96¢
  • 2d ago · +5.8pp → 96¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

13
Same eventMegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MegaETH's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MegaETH doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Jul 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not stated explicitly — read the full market rules below.
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket