Plaintive-Man
0xc168e567cc5993b6127be7fde6926a6602b95024
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
196
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-15.7K
Realised
$-21.53
Win rate
53%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 196- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
743 shares @ 77.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$737.09
$162.88
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
200 shares @ 93.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$200.00
$13.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
200 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$200.00
$34.00
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
200 shares @ 69.6¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$148.99
$9.82
- NO
Will Warren Buffett be 2nd richest person on March 31?
110 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$109.70
$2.82
- NO
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
100 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$99.05
$4.05
- YES
Will NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?
57 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$57.00
$2.28
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
100 shares @ 53.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$52.50
$-0.50
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$50.00
$0.85
- NO
Will Pure Storage (PSTG) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
47 shares @ 86.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$47.49
$6.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?$54.72Mar 20, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$55.00Mar 20, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$428.41Mar 10, 10:47 UTC
- REWARD$2.06Mar 10, 00:02 UTC
- REWARD$0.39Mar 10, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$145.80Mar 9, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$166.00Mar 9, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$187.00Mar 9, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMSevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5$20.00Mar 9, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMStade Brestois 29 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 3.5$20.00Mar 9, 10:12 UTC
- REWARD$3.61Mar 9, 00:01 UTC
- REWARD$2.22Mar 9, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$10.00Mar 8, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5$15.80Mar 8, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$9.60Mar 8, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYStade Brestois 29 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 3.5$18.80Mar 8, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 7?$100.00Mar 8, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?$6.40Mar 8, 06:41 UTC
- REWARD$6.80Mar 8, 00:02 UTC
- REWARD$10.49Mar 8, 00:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $118.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 17:34 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 07:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.