Grounded-Cottage
0xc17671a319dc7e649f70555c51c487a0e83c96aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$106.42
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
61 shares @ 81.8¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$57.79
$7.79
- YES
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
55 shares @ 91.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$48.63
$-1.37
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
25000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
5111 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
3556 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-399.99
- YES
Will Kamala Harris rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
1055 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
962 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Timothée Chalamet rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
406 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-02?
217 shares @ 92.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Lecce end in a draw?
19 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-02?$300.90Jun 2, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win on 2026-06-02?$200.47Jun 2, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-02?$300.03Jun 2, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$207.94Jun 2, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-30?$100.10May 31, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-30?$100.00May 30, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Championships: Switzerland vs. Sweden$1.2KMay 28, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$50.36May 28, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Switzerland vs. Sweden$400.01May 28, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Switzerland vs. Sweden$400.12May 28, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Switzerland vs. Sweden$400.12May 28, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Championships: Canada vs. USA$301.65May 28, 18:51 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Championships: Finland vs. Czechia$601.20May 28, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Canada vs. USA$300.05May 28, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Finland vs. Czechia$600.04May 28, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMSolstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?$50.00May 26, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$50.13May 26, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?$203.28May 23, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valencia CF win on 2026-05-23?$342.47May 23, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valencia CF win on 2026-05-23?$100.21May 23, 20:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $228.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 20:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 21:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".