Energetic-Mansion
0xc185f496c90d72e28131f58a980416e22d317020
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$340.54
Total PnL
$21.11
Realised
$-3.54
Win rate
36%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 100 mph?
100 shares @ 61.1¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$64.79
$3.46
- NEW YORK YANKEES
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)
40 shares @ 28.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$34.00
$22.80
- YES
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 95 mph?
100 shares @ 35.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$32.14
$-3.01
- UNDER
Denver Summit FC vs. Kansas City Current: Denver Summit FC 1st Half O/U 1.5
54 shares @ 7.9¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$27.84
$23.56
- OVER
Denver Summit FC vs. Kansas City Current: Denver Summit FC 1st Half O/U 0.5
54 shares @ 54.9¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$26.49
$-3.17
- NO
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $215B by July 31?
20 shares @ 81.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$18.30
$2.10
- NO
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $19B by July 31?
26 shares @ 65.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$18.19
$1.30
- TAMPA BAY RAYS
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 32.3¢·exp May 23, 2026$12.90
$-7.10
- NO
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by July 31?
13 shares @ 71.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$12.06
$2.90
- UNDER
Denver Summit FC vs. Kansas City Current: Denver Summit FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5
12 shares @ 10.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$9.44
$8.23
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Micron (MU) finish week of June 29 above $1,190?$7.50Jul 2, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $6M committed to the Squid public sale?$1.88Jul 2, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $5.5M committed to the Squid public sale?$7.92Jul 2, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 100 mph?$6.70Jul 2, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 100 mph?$13.42Jul 2, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 95 mph?$5.32Jul 2, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 95 mph?$2.66Jul 2, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLAngel City FC vs. Orlando Pride: Orlando Pride 1st Half O/U 1.5$3.94Jul 2, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLAngel City FC vs. Orlando Pride: Orlando Pride 1st Half O/U 0.5$2.69Jul 2, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum above 1,710 on July 2, 1PM ET?$0.50Jul 2, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above 1,710 on July 2, 1PM ET?$1.14Jul 2, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum above 1,710 on July 2, 1PM ET?$1.15Jul 2, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin above 62,000 on July 2, 1PM ET?$1.15Jul 2, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above 1,710 on July 2, 1PM ET?$2.83Jul 2, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above 62,000 on July 2, 1PM ET?$2.40Jul 2, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $18B by July 31?$8.28Jul 2, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $19B by July 31?$17.13Jul 2, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $216 in July?$5.59Jul 2, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $218 in July?$5.25Jul 2, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $215B by July 31?$16.32Jul 2, 10:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
36% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 00:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 20:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.