Black-Pocketwatch
0xc18bd4097fd387387030ef63542785c455279491
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$6.6K
Total PnL
$-727.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
89383 shares @ 7.8¢·now 7.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.6K
$-430.29
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$30.30
$20.30
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.81
$-0.19
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
53598 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-250.95
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27?
516 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
455 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 27?
172 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.65
- YES
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-26?
85 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.73
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
69 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$10.482h ago
- YIELD$0.608h ago
- YIELD$0.571d ago
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?$15.152d ago
- YIELD$0.792d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?$10.103d ago
- YIELD$0.563d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27?$10.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 27?$5.004d ago
- REDEEMWill Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?$1.074d ago
- REDEEMCeltics vs. 76ers$1.344d ago
- YIELD$0.514d ago
- TRADESELLWill Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?$6.945d ago
- TRADEBUYWill OGC Nice win on 2026-04-26?$1.005d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?$1.005d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$10.005d ago
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. 76ers$1.005d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?$1.005d ago
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Trail Blazers$1.005d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$50.005d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $5.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 6d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".