Snoopy-Sediment
0xc1b399b26020a4f689108e9640fd3dc8ffc8501c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
175
Open notional
$30.8K
Total PnL
$7.3K
Realised
$41.1K
Win rate
78%
46 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 175- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
52657 shares @ 21.6¢·now 22.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$12.0K
$660.21
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
28701 shares @ 0.7¢·now 8.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.5K
$2.3K
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
129269 shares @ 3.1¢·now 1.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.4K
$-1.6K
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
15601 shares @ 0.7¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.3K
$1.2K
- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
129269 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$969.52
$-3.1K
- YES
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
87328 shares @ 3.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$916.95
$-1.8K
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
2637 shares @ 49.5¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$843.84
$-460.89
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
15777 shares @ 0.6¢·now 5.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$828.31
$726.64
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
11111 shares @ 4.4¢·now 7.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$772.21
$286.25
- YES
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
129269 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$581.71
$-3.5K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.89Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.89Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-07-22?$0.00Jul 23, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMEstoril Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Jaime Faria$0.00Jul 23, 18:03 UTC
- YIELD$1.07Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$20.31Jul 22, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.73Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.73Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEstoril Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Jaime Faria$4.4KJul 21, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-07-22?$637.16Jul 21, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-07-22?$39.68Jul 21, 02:07 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$6.81Jul 21, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.73Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-07-22?$137.60Jul 20, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-07-22?$1.78Jul 20, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-07-22?$137.60Jul 20, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-07-22?$1.78Jul 20, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-07-22?$137.60Jul 20, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-07-22?$1.78Jul 20, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-07-22?$137.60Jul 20, 23:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
67/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
78% win rate over 46 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
46 closed markets, 78% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $552.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 19:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 46 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.