Confused-Reciprocity
0xc1b89669445654eeebb759748cf1a4d654e3c4ba
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$609.34
Total PnL
$-3.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on May 10?
66 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 10, 2026$65.68
$0.21
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C or below on May 12?
47 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 12, 2026$46.95
$0.18
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 43°F or below on May 10?
44 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$44.37
$0.33
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on May 11?
42 shares @ 93.3¢·now 95.4¢·exp May 11, 2026$39.90
$0.88
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on May 11?
38 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 11, 2026$37.53
$0.19
- YES
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
32 shares @ 86.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 14, 2026$29.32
$1.45
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on May 11?
29 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 11, 2026$29.08
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 6°C or below on May 11?
29 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$28.74
$0.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 68°F or higher on May 11?
29 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 11, 2026$28.30
$-0.06
- YES
Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
33 shares @ 84.8¢·now 84.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$27.42
$-0.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$7.782h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$28.062h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$27.892h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 10?$2.982h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 10?$5.953h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 10?$12.243h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 10?$13.583h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on May 10?$2.893h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C or below on May 12?$13.213h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C or below on May 12?$33.573h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 60°F or higher on May 12?$12.504h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on May 11?$29.104h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 68°F or higher on May 11?$28.374h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on May 10?$11.435h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on May 10?$12.025h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on May 12?$10.785h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on May 10?$6.455h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on May 10?$20.695h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on May 10?$14.895h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on May 12?$15.765h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $10.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5h ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
