Warm-Terrarium
0xc1bee2ad42f717fcbd2eca9ecbf1728d8c268354
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$4.17
Total PnL
$-8.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$4.17
$3.17
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
29 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.49
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
17 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.21
- YES
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
10 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- PENGUINS
Penguins vs. Maple Leafs
5 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?$0.75Mar 20, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?$0.79Mar 20, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$0.81Mar 20, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.29Mar 9, 01:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$0.39Mar 9, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?$1.00Mar 8, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?$1.00Mar 8, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$1.00Mar 8, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?$1.00Mar 8, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$2.60Mar 8, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.80Mar 8, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$3.20Mar 8, 03:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.00Mar 8, 00:33 UTC
- TRADESELLCrude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 9?$5.50Mar 7, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 9?$1.55Mar 7, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.00Mar 7, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 9?$2.20Mar 7, 10:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?$1.55Dec 25, 00:51 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$2.50Dec 25, 00:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$9.97Dec 25, 00:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $3.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 19:10 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 08:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.