Those-Wasp-Pants
0xc1c5a6222280b997c756f739f4d88f128edaed35
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$72.46
Total PnL
$-385.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
72 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$72.46
$22.46
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 8?
3752 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
510 shares @ 19.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
417 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
388 shares @ 35.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-138.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
323 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
290 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on April 9?
102 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.76
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C or higher on April 9?
67 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$20.00Apr 8, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?$20.00Apr 8, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C or higher on April 9?$5.00Apr 8, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on April 9?$5.00Apr 8, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$50.00Apr 8, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$50.00Apr 8, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$38.00Apr 8, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$10.00Apr 8, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 8?$10.00Apr 8, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$50.00Apr 8, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$308.00Apr 8, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$87.50Apr 8, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$100.00Apr 8, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$100.00Apr 8, 12:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $60.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 12:50 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 20:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.