Loathsome-Shopper
0xc1d140ead21d115b866596430681c6e8a7d9c4b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$21.30
Total PnL
$-8.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
14 shares @ 73.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$11.44
$1.44
- NO
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
14 shares @ 71.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.86
$-0.14
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down on June 20?
337 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 25?$6.28Jun 20, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 24?$6.04Jun 20, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 23?$5.78Jun 20, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 22?$5.24Jun 20, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on June 20?$0.53Jun 20, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 21?$4.56Jun 20, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? AND Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw? AND Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? AND Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?$10.17Jun 20, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$9.53Jun 20, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$9.89Jun 20, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?$10.04Jun 20, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on June 20?$10.68Jun 20, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 20?$31.49Jun 20, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 20?$3.25Jun 20, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?$30.38Jun 20, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?$10.11Jun 20, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$10.10Jun 20, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$10.13Jun 20, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?$80.00Jun 20, 05:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$31.21Jun 20, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?$20.45Jun 19, 23:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $48.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 08:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 15:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.