Splendid-Sector
0xc23b2190e56399fae83048dea976e13d83cd24f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
150
Open notional
$727.50
Total PnL
$-42.5K
Realised
$-71.12
Win rate
88%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 150- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
250 shares @ 51.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$250.00
$120.25
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 19.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$99.25
$-150.75
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
500 shares @ 2.6¢·now 14.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$72.25
$59.40
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
500 shares @ 1.2¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$71.75
$65.51
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
500 shares @ 2.6¢·now 7.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$34.75
$21.70
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
500 shares @ 1.5¢·now 5.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$25.25
$17.91
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
500 shares @ 2.1¢·now 5.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$24.75
$14.31
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
500 shares @ 1.1¢·now 2.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.25
$5.91
- YES
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 2.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.25
$7.05
- YES
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
500 shares @ 0.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.50
$8.11
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 20:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 7, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 3, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
48/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
88% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.