Cultured-Street
0xc24307db60e64be7a809f4f461ffd27a4f0b5e94
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$7.3K
Total PnL
$-316.09
Realised
$-45.12
Win rate
54%
85 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
491 shares @ 61.8¢·now 67.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$331.21
$28.18
- NO
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
180 shares @ 86.1¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$171.43
$16.80
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
172 shares @ 81.4¢·now 87.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$149.87
$9.59
- NO
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
144 shares @ 84.7¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$124.85
$2.64
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
139 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$120.94
$-1.39
- NO
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
139 shares @ 81.5¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$118.42
$5.58
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
113 shares @ 74.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$112.21
$28.59
- YES
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
112 shares @ 84.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$111.55
$17.41
- NO
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
117 shares @ 94.1¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$111.21
$1.15
- NO
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
106 shares @ 92.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$103.19
$5.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of July 27 2026?$4.44Jul 29, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?$4.97Jul 29, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $350 on July 30?$1.44Jul 29, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $345 on July 30?$1.10Jul 29, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of July 27 2026?$3.25Jul 29, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$1.26Jul 29, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 30?$23.77Jul 29, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$1.95Jul 29, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $235 on July 30?$1.75Jul 29, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$0.86Jul 29, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$1.05Jul 29, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$3.46Jul 29, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 30?$9.00Jul 29, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of July 27 2026?$1.10Jul 29, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?$3.60Jul 29, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$1.08Jul 29, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLMeloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by July 31?$0.14Jul 29, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLMeloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by July 31?$24.84Jul 29, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?$1.04Jul 29, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$12.18Jul 29, 12:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
54% win rate over 85 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
85 closed markets, 54% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 04:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 14:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 85 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.