Loud-Pyridine
0xc2595b598682b6c424a9089f2673b3df0b2b24aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$13.58
Total PnL
$-439.49
Realised
$0.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$13.58
$3.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C or higher on January 29?
1110 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-6.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or higher on January 26?
266 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?
225 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
224 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
147 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
143 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
139 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
124 shares @ 40.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.46Jul 19, 17:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.09Jul 18, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.49Jul 18, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$51.49Jul 18, 17:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$14.73Jun 30, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 14?$10.59Jun 15, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 14?$10.03Jun 13, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$10.12Jun 13, 18:32 UTC
- REDEEMElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$199.00Jun 13, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$10.13May 14, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$5.15May 14, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$14.30Feb 17, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 5?$20.00Feb 7, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 5?$12.20Feb 5, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 5?$10.40Feb 5, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)$1.72Feb 1, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMHurricanes vs. Capitals$2.70Feb 1, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMJets vs. Panthers$4.55Feb 1, 07:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $9.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 15:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.