Legal-Vulture
0xc25cd2772a79a1ad11a129ee494079525aecc4db
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$203.00
Total PnL
$-3.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?
54 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$53.81
$0.73
- NO
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?
55 shares @ 95.4¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.97
$-0.50
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026?
54 shares @ 95.0¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.09
$-1.21
- NO
Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
50 shares @ 98.3¢·now 94.3¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$47.13
$-2.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?$47.14Jul 23, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?$5.94Jul 23, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?$52.47Jul 21, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?$51.30Jul 14, 20:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?$52.80Jul 8, 17:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$54.23Jul 6, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$51.70Jul 1, 07:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$52.80Jun 30, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?$52.25Jun 30, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?$12.37Jun 26, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?$39.36Jun 26, 17:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $38.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 17:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.