Normal-Dentist
0xc27c625c827ca7c93c82f82e1243c6ae499b3cef
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$50.83
Total PnL
$-48.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.10
$8.10
- NO
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?
18 shares @ 55.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.45
$6.45
- NO
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 71.6¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$13.62
$3.62
- NO
Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.66
$-7.34
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- TORONTO BLUE JAYS
Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Canada recession before 2027?
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- MOEZ ECHARGUI
Lincoln: Dhakshineswar Suresh vs Moez Echargui
11 shares @ 62.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- ALEXANDER BUBLIK
Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys
8 shares @ 65.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$9.23Jul 27, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays$10.24Jul 19, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: O/U 2.5$15.15Jul 18, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$1.05Jul 18, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$1.06Jul 18, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels$5.06Jul 18, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$4.43Jul 18, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$1.04Jul 18, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$1.03Jul 18, 03:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$2.44Jul 18, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$1.04Jul 18, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$2.56Jul 18, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$1.04Jul 18, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$1.85Jul 18, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$1.03Jul 18, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$1.04Jul 18, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$1.01Jul 18, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$1.89Jul 18, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$1.03Jul 18, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$1.69Jul 18, 02:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $3.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 06:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 01:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.