Lovable-Junker
0xc28723c2fe16f8ece0bbbe8351cc907b203edc83
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$110.71
Total PnL
$-121.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
68 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$68.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of July 6 above $340?
35 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$35.03
$0.04
- COLORADO ROCKIES
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants
8 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$7.61
$4.49
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
1125 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 24?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 20?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 22?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 24?
800 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 21?
789 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.58
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 24?
750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?$68.00Jul 10, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of July 6 above $340?$35.00Jul 10, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants$3.21Jul 10, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $152 in June?$106.32Jul 10, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $152 in June?$106.01Jun 30, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?$106.11Jun 30, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?$106.01Jun 19, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of June 1 above $370?$104.10Jun 19, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of June 1 above $370?$104.00Jun 5, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Noh Yeong-min win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?$13.01Jun 5, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$92.09Jun 5, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$92.00Jun 1, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Hurricanes$4.15Jun 1, 07:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill ByteDance have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$11.22Jun 1, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$85.08Jun 1, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$85.00May 31, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$4.56May 31, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ByteDance have the #2 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$11.20May 31, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$101.30May 31, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$101.02May 30, 06:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $77.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 07:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 06:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.