Identical-Prejudice
0xc28f8fc265651d74fd4c5180f91a54d19865ffed
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$26.7K
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
159583 shares @ 5.1¢·now 4.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.7K
$-398.96
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
11766 shares @ 52.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$5.6K
$-529.48
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
9861 shares @ 59.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$5.4K
$-443.73
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
8051 shares @ 35.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.9K
$40.26
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
12776 shares @ 24.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.6K
$-447.17
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
9080 shares @ 31.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.5K
$-317.81
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.69Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.72Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.74Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.75Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.74Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.71Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.71Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.72Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.73Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.74Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.75Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.75Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.75Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.75Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.85Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.77Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.77Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.74Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.71Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.72Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $1.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 19:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.