Flustered-Dud
0xc29339b564398119ac4760f0ffa511d244a18e9a
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$739.99
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-88.93
Win rate
13%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
455 shares @ 52.9¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$234.32
$-6.35
- YES
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1075 shares @ 50.5¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$231.13
$-312.37
- NO
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
160 shares @ 44.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$159.62
$89.09
- YES
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
115 shares @ 22.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$114.91
$89.35
- YES
USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?
3100 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-296.92
- YES
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
750 shares @ 64.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-485.15
- YES
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $350 end of January?
601 shares @ 40.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-242.49
- NO
Will GPT win the okbet trading competition?
424 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-56.24
- YES
Will Gemini win the okbet trading competition?
89 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
- NO
Will BNB dip to $800 in January?
55 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-46.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMUSD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?$47.66May 7, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUSD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?$0.14Apr 22, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUSD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?$68.65Apr 21, 13:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUSD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?$0.13Apr 21, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$197.21Apr 19, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUSD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?$2.40Apr 16, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUSD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.90Apr 16, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$11.57Apr 4, 20:48 UTC
- REDEEMBackpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?$501.67Apr 4, 20:48 UTC
- MERGEUSD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?$100.00Mar 22, 17:21 UTC
- SPLITUSD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?$100.00Mar 22, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$75.00Mar 19, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$98.75Mar 19, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?$2.35Mar 14, 20:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?$2.95Mar 14, 20:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$3.36Mar 14, 20:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?$157.26Feb 17, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?$99.40Feb 16, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?$99.30Feb 16, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?$91.30Feb 16, 03:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $60.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 20:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 19:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.