Difficult-Runner
0xc2a0cb2f1da6210ce7e09285d00fb1751d89fd35
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-180.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
4084 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?
3203 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-103.00
- YES
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
2222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
833 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
91 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Ukraine hits Moscow by January 31?
68 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.35
- YES
Bikinis back on X by January 16?
24 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLJerome Powell federally charged by June 30?$2.27Mar 25, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?$103.00Feb 7, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$22.58Feb 3, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell federally charged by June 30?$10.00Jan 14, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$2.00Jan 11, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBikinis back on X by January 16?$1.00Jan 11, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$20.00Jan 9, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine hits Moscow by January 31?$11.35Jan 7, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 6, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 3, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$10.00Jan 2, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$20.00Jan 2, 18:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $18.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 18:29 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 10:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.