Caring-Agony
0xc2c01a5f3ed6f40df82034112688c7f073fbe9d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
3
Open notional
$6.32
Total PnL
$0.05
Realised
$-0.00
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.76
$0.01
- NO
Will Rihanna have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.79
$0.01
- NO
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
2 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.78
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rihanna have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$1.78May 11, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.74May 11, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $600 in May?$2.75May 11, 04:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$1.61May 11, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$2.64May 11, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$5.14May 11, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$2.40Mar 6, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$1.59Mar 6, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$4.88Mar 6, 04:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$1.17Mar 6, 04:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?$2.24Mar 6, 04:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $210 in January?$2.67Mar 6, 04:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?$2.86Mar 6, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $210 in January?$2.67Jan 22, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?$2.20Jan 22, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?$2.85Jan 22, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?$1.08Jan 22, 05:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.50Jan 22, 05:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.80Jan 22, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?$1.07Dec 19, 01:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $51.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 25, 08:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 04:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.