Qualified-Outcome
0xc2d285e70002c70fa38a72a5efd98e27d81238cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
94
Open notional
$494.40
Total PnL
$-369.01
Realised
$0.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 94- NO
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
79 shares @ 18.4¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$16.16
$1.67
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
17 shares @ 88.2¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$16.00
$1.22
- NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
17 shares @ 59.4¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.88
$5.90
- YES
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?
40 shares @ 35.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$15.40
$1.40
- YES
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?
22 shares @ 68.3¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.21
$0.26
- NO
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
17 shares @ 81.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.10
$1.06
- NO
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?
18 shares @ 85.1¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.91
$-0.11
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 76.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.70
$-0.19
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 71.5¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.67
$-0.64
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
37 shares @ 40.7¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$14.54
$-0.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Song Yadong win by KO or TKO?$3.50May 30, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?$7.18May 30, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?$7.18May 30, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$2.86May 30, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Song Yadong win by KO or TKO?$5.40May 30, 02:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$0.01May 30, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$1.03May 30, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$1.23May 30, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$1.20May 30, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$1.81May 30, 01:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$0.99May 30, 01:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$1.92May 30, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HYPE flip SOL by December 31?$2.27May 30, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$5.88May 30, 01:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$1.00May 29, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$4.84May 29, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$4.85May 29, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$0.05May 29, 20:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$7.60May 29, 20:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 00:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 08:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".