0xc2d3298f171f10d91b925e6ca0566f4852c3ad9a
0xc2d3298f171f10d91b925e6ca0566f4852c3ad9a
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$21.80
Total PnL
$-3.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?
7 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$6.71
$1.74
- US
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
10 shares @ 24.9¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.00
$2.51
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
5 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.00
$2.05
- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
32 shares @ 9.4¢·now 7.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.33
$-0.69
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
26 shares @ 11.8¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.57
$-1.44
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
13 shares @ 20.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.19
$-1.31
- YES
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
188 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
63 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.03
- YES
Trump out as President by March 31?
3 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$2.50Feb 28, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$3.00Feb 28, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$3.03Feb 28, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$2.95Feb 28, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$2.72Feb 28, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$2.81Feb 28, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$3.02Feb 28, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$2.81Feb 28, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$2.48Feb 28, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$3.01Feb 28, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$0.07Feb 28, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.42Feb 28, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$6.64Feb 28, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?$4.97Feb 28, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$5.00Feb 28, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$5.00Feb 28, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$2.97Feb 28, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$2.49Feb 28, 13:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $3.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 13:01 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 22:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.