0xc2e3d8216acbc29401854b4d5c5dd68da0cd1fd2
0xc2e3d8216acbc29401854b4d5c5dd68da0cd1fd2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-297.55
Realised
$17.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Biden dropout letter published without consent?
800 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2024$0.00
$-20.80
- YES
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
505 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-25.30
- YES
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
399 shares @ 19.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-78.42
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 25?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
305 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-24.98
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 12-18?
228 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.88
- YES
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
224 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?
179 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.12
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 26?
158 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 January 19-25?
139 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?$2.27May 17, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$1.05May 16, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$5.22May 16, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$5.23May 16, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 26?$5.00Jan 25, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 26?$5.00Jan 25, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $84,000 on January 26?$1.00Jan 25, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 25?$1.00Jan 25, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11AM ET$1.00Jan 25, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11AM ET$1.00Jan 25, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11AM ET$1.00Jan 25, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?$33.33Jan 25, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $88,000 on January 22?$3.10Jan 21, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 23?$5.00Jan 21, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 4PM ET$2.00Jan 21, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $82,000 January 19-25?$5.00Jan 21, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?$5.00Jan 21, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 21?$9.86Jan 21, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$4.64Jan 20, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$1.18Jan 20, 22:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 21:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 17:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".