Turbulent-Palate
0xc2e8c853ed60ac7b984cb38e195d827e5039f038
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-521.37
Realised
$-3.42
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
180 shares @ 67.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-121.60
- YES
Will a Democrat win Tennessee US Senate Election?
115 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.15
- YES
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?
115 shares @ 33.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-38.30
- YES
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
114 shares @ 45.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-51.65
- YES
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
109 shares @ 51.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-56.60
- YES
Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?
108 shares @ 39.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-42.85
- NO
Will a Republican win Indiana US Senate Election?
100 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-3.90
- YES
Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI
83 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?
78 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-20.26
- YES
Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?
65 shares @ 34.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-22.61
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS military action against Iran before July?$1.76Jun 11, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?$0.75Apr 29, 23:00 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$0.84Apr 22, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86000 on Apr 18?$2.00Apr 15, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military action against Iran before July?$1.00Apr 15, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$1.00Apr 15, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in April?$1.00Apr 15, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?$10.00Apr 15, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Wisconsin US Senate Election?$20.00Dec 10, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?$20.00Dec 10, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?$1.35Nov 6, 00:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election?$6.80Nov 6, 00:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the election be called on Nov 5? $5.00Nov 6, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?$3.40Nov 6, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?$3.10Nov 6, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the election be called on Nov 5? $4.00Nov 5, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?$1.40Nov 5, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?$3.00Nov 5, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?$3.10Nov 5, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$10.82Nov 5, 14:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 17:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 18:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".