Lone-Bellows
0xc2eb1285f5c621e2f701a0c265cf03cf2432c299
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$6.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
110 shares @ 92.9¢·now 90.3¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$99.38
$-2.81
- NO
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?
100 shares @ 92.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$99.34
$7.35
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
110 shares @ 93.5¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$99.00
$-3.80
- NO
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
110 shares @ 81.5¢·now 87.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$96.25
$6.65
- NO
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?
100 shares @ 96.6¢·now 93.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$93.30
$-3.30
- NO
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?
100 shares @ 86.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$91.44
$4.95
- NO
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?
100 shares @ 82.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$88.49
$6.50
- YES
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
120 shares @ 81.7¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$87.00
$-11.00
- NO
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?
100 shares @ 87.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$81.49
$-5.51
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 69.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$80.50
$11.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$10.00Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$100.00Jun 12, 22:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$140.47Jun 4, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?$137.56Jun 4, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$180.04Jun 4, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$183.26Jun 4, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$190.77Jun 4, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$265.14Jun 4, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?$58.23Jun 4, 07:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $165.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.