0xc2f5073032e691061a31b8ded6696b8d4c9ce9d6
0xc2f5073032e691061a31b8ded6696b8d4c9ce9d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
60
Open notional
$0.62
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$0.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 6.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.41
$-0.59
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.21
$-0.79
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10PM ET
1100 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
299 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-161.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
297 shares @ 44.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-131.55
- BRONCOS
Patriots vs. Broncos
152 shares @ 32.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
146 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-73.83
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
143 shares @ 51.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-73.83
- YES
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
110 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
93 shares @ 47.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-44.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$1.18Apr 10, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$1.00Apr 5, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$17.26Apr 1, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$11.00Apr 1, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$11.00Apr 1, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$75.00Mar 29, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$35.00Mar 29, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$15.00Mar 29, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$5.00Mar 29, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$32.11Mar 29, 04:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$69.39Mar 29, 04:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$74.91Mar 29, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$15.00Mar 29, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$5.00Mar 29, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$35.00Mar 29, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$14.99Mar 29, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$5.00Mar 29, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$35.00Mar 29, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$15.00Mar 29, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$5.00Mar 29, 03:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $21.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 14:35 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 01:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.