Perfect-Economy
0xc2fe0f8e78cd7157b4469ad2ebada37f1e9410e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
94
Open notional
$13.98
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-0.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 94- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 9?
68 shares @ 19.1¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$12.24
$-0.76
- NO
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
3480 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.74
$-1.74
- NO
Trump kiss by May 31?
18000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
2560 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 France?
408 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 England?
250 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
188 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
164 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
162 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 9?$13.53Jul 8, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$2.06Jul 8, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$1.52Jul 8, 04:56 UTC
- REDEEMLionel Messi: 1+ goals$50.88Jul 7, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals$29.37Jul 7, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-07-07?$5.14Jul 7, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance AND Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total Corners AND Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$30.00Jul 7, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$0.16Jul 7, 05:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$0.00Jul 7, 05:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$16.67Jul 7, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$5.24Jul 7, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$5.15Jul 7, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMPortugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 5.5 Corners$28.30Jul 6, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLLamine Yamal: 3+ shots$30.44Jul 6, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?$17.37Jul 6, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?$16.98Jul 6, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance$40.77Jul 6, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$37.45Jul 6, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$40.91Jul 6, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?$18.39Jul 6, 18:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $21.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 18:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 05:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.