Smug-Avalanche
0xc302b58614dcae99a2cab713534fdef0490ef388
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$15.8K
Total PnL
$-689.15
Realised
$647.78
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
6955 shares @ 93.5¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.7K
$180.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
2548 shares @ 81.9¢·now 75.2¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.9K
$-170.83
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1564 shares @ 93.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.5K
$51.75
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
1075 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$994.62
$-5.38
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1136 shares @ 88.0¢·now 81.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$929.43
$-70.57
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
1104 shares @ 90.2¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$888.66
$-107.55
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
4676 shares @ 21.4¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$584.53
$-415.46
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
1471 shares @ 68.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$551.47
$-448.53
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
552 shares @ 90.6¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$521.72
$21.72
- NO
Kash Patel out by June 30?
559 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$517.26
$-8.39
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?$10.29Jun 13, 07:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$3.73Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 12, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?$134.49Jun 12, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?$79.20Jun 12, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?$16.00Jun 12, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?$12.00Jun 12, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?$3.20Jun 12, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?$41.60Jun 12, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1000.00Jun 12, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$63.80Jun 12, 12:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$8.38Jun 11, 03:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$30.60Jun 10, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$5.10Jun 10, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$7.65Jun 10, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$15.30Jun 10, 20:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $299.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 00:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.