0xc30461f9a437d568f20d2d9d98b1b5489ba3a950
0xc30461f9a437d568f20d2d9d98b1b5489ba3a950
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$6.19
Total PnL
$2.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jun 30, 07:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?$1.11Jun 25, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?$1.11Jun 25, 16:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$28.42Jun 22, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$1.53Jun 21, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.99Jun 21, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$3.92Jun 20, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$1.76Jun 20, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$0.13Jun 19, 23:44 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$7.22Jun 19, 23:38 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)$2.02Jun 19, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLToronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs$1.16Jun 19, 21:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 18:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 07:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.