Important-Assumption
0xc31978500c02b2f98159c2aec53bc6baf5b36baa
Quality score
84/100
Open positions
19
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$210.77
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
1461 shares @ 80.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.1K
$-21.91
- OVER
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5
669 shares @ 51.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$448.23
$107.04
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
356 shares @ 78.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$295.48
$17.80
- YES
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
699 shares @ 44.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$286.59
$-20.97
- YES
Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?
771 shares @ 12.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$115.65
$23.13
- YES
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
208 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$35.36
$-2.08
- NO
Will "Prowler" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
1314 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-223.38
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 26, 8PM ET
648 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-330.48
- NO
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 7?
590 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-342.20
- NO
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
575 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-149.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.2K2d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?$92.522d ago
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5$341.192d ago
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?$329.0011d ago
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$716.0011d ago
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$284.4016d ago
- TRADESELLWill Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$42.8416d ago
- TRADESELLWill Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$12.1216d ago
- TRADESELLWill there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$4.8016d ago
- TRADESELLWill there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$214.0816d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$316.8017d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$54.9617d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$149.5018d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?$307.5618d ago
- REDEEMWill Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$100.0039d ago
- REDEEMWill Khamenei tweet every day through March 27?$729.0039d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$246.2439d ago
- TRADESELLWill Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?$246.1040d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$277.6842d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Prowler" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?$223.3842d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $176.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 50d ago
- Last active
- 2d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.