Repentant-Graphic
0xc320d7bb5afca9c85f42d4ea80e02ef60c2c3d45
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$522.77
Total PnL
$10.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?
200 shares @ 79.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$156.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?
153 shares @ 86.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$136.17
$4.59
- YES
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
161 shares @ 56.7¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$89.36
$-1.94
- NO
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?
44 shares @ 91.9¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$40.48
$0.05
- NO
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
38 shares @ 78.6¢·now 78.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$29.83
$-0.06
- NO
Will Yordan Alvarez record a hit at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game?
37 shares @ 47.0¢·now 74.8¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$27.68
$10.29
- YES
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
30 shares @ 52.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.70
$-0.90
- NO
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by July 30?
14 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.60
$0.00
- YES
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 49.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.13
$-0.22
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2027?
64 shares @ 6.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.48
$0.64
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$30.15Jul 14, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$15.90Jul 14, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Fetterman vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?$132.32Jul 14, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?$7.61Jul 14, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brandon Marsh record a hit at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game?$14.22Jul 14, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brandon Marsh record a hit at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game?$16.12Jul 14, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aaron Wise finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?$2.36Jul 14, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Deportivo Toluca FC 0 - 0 Pumas de la UNAM?$0.43Jul 14, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Henan FC 0 - 0 Qingdao Hainiu FC?$0.67Jul 14, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: CA Mineiro 0 - 0 EC Bahia?$2.72Jul 14, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Pumas de la UNAM 0 - 0 CF Pachuca?$2.29Jul 14, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: CA Mineiro 0 - 0 EC Bahia?$7.50Jul 14, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Deportivo Toluca FC 0 - 0 Pumas de la UNAM?$6.10Jul 14, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Henan FC 0 - 0 Qingdao Hainiu FC?$2.93Jul 14, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Pumas de la UNAM 0 - 0 CF Pachuca?$6.10Jul 14, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the House pass a reconciliation bill by July 30?$0.54Jul 14, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yordan Alvarez record a hit at the 2026 MLB All-Star Game?$17.85Jul 14, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the House pass a reconciliation bill by July 30?$12.65Jul 14, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2027?$3.98Jul 14, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?$94.07Jul 14, 05:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $22.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 13:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 16:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.